ABSTRACT
The aim of this study is to provide evidence for the influencing factors of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-COV-2) virus mutation by determining the impact of geographical and meteorological factors on SARS-CoV-2 transmission, and the different impacts of SARS-CoV-2 variant strains. From January 20 to March 10, 2020, we collected a number of daily confirmed new cases and meteorological factors in all cities and regions in China and Italy affected by the Alpha "variants of concern" (VOC). We also collected the daily confirmed cases of the Delta VOC infection in China and Italy from May 21 to November 30, 2021. The relationships between daily meteorological data and daily verified new cases of SARS-CoV-2 transmission were then investigated using a general additive model (GAM) with a log link function and Poisson family. The results revealed that latitude was substantially connected with daily confirmed new instances of the Alpha VOC, while there was no such correlation with Delta VOC transmission. When visibility is greater than 7 m, the propagation of the Alpha and Delta VOCs in Italy and China can be controlled. Furthermore, greater temperatures and increased wind speed reduce the transmission of the Alpha and Delta VOCs. In conclusion, geographical and meteorological factors play an important role in SARS-CoV-2 transmissibility and should be considered in virus mitigation strategies.
ABSTRACT
Up to 30 May 2021, the cumulative number of patients diagnosed with corona virus disease-19 (COVID-19) globally has exceeded 170 million, with more than 152 million patients recovered from COVID-19. However, the long-term effect of the virus infection on the human body's function is unknown for convalescent patients. It was reported that about 63% of COVID-19 patients had observable lung damage on CT scans after being released from the hospital. Bufei Huoxue (BFHX) capsules, including three active ingredients of traditional Chinese herbal medicine, has been used clinically to prevent and treat pulmonary heart diseases with Qi deficiency and blood stasis syndrome. Some small-scale clinical trials have found that BFHX can improve lung ventilation function, reduce blood viscosity, and improve cardiopulmonary function. However, the efficacy and safety of BFHX in the treatment of the recovery phase of COVID-19 are unknown. This study is a multicenter, double-blinded, randomized, controlled trial. Subjects with convalescent COVID-19 were randomized (1:1) into either a BFHX or control group and observed for three months concomitant with receiving routine treatment. The primary efficacy indicators are the evaluation results and changes of the St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire score, Fatigue Assessment Inventory, and 6-min walk distance. Based on the intention-to-treat principle, all randomly assigned participants will be included in the statistical analysis. The last visit's outcomes will be used as the final outcomes for participants who prematurely withdraw from the trial. Per protocol set will pick up from the full analysis set for analysis. Efficacy analysis will be performed on the intention-to-treat datasets and per-protocol datasets. This study and its protocol were approved by the Ethics Committee of our University. Prior to participation, all subjects provided written informed consent. Results will be disseminated at medical conferences and in journal publications. We aimed to determine the efficacy and safety of BFHX for the treatment of the convalescent COVID-19 patients. Trial registration number: ChiCTR2000032573.